Times Now opinion polls give clear edge to BJP over Congress with ABP C Voter survey showing neck to neck fight and AAP improving its tally
The latest Times Now survey (if believed to be true)after its recent one, few days ago, giving back to back clear cut edge to the saffron party over Congress in Uttarakhand’s election due for February 14, with enhancing AAP seats as well, has not only badly demoralised the morale of Congress veteran leader, former CM and chairman of the state election campaign committee Harish Rawat but his rivals too within his own party, giving due credit to the charismatic Modi image and to the dynamic leadership of the young chief minister Pushkar Singh Dhami who was OSD to the then CM Uttarakhand n now governor of Maharashtra Bhagat Singh Koshiyari 18 years ago at the age of merely 28 years.
The Times Now latest survey unambiguously gives BJP a major victory getting 44 to 50 seats with Congress getting merely 12 to 15 but AAP increasing its tally from 5 to 8 in a 70 seats assembly of Uttarakhand.
However, the ABP C voter opinion poll still gives Congress tremendous strength and keeps it moral high which shows neck to neck fight between BJP and Congress in Uttarakhand giving 31 to 37 seats to Bhartiya Janata Party and 31 to 36 seats to Congress, unambiguously exhibiting a close contest.
The AAM ADMI Party has been given 2 to 4 seats.
Though the opinion polls had not always been true having failed majorly but coming true as well in some elections.
While the Congress party terms these opinion polls as completely wrong, the Bhartiya Janta Party finds them to be a great blessing in disguise as anti incumbency factor seems to be working against it immensely predict news analysts of Uttarakhand.
In its last opinion poll prior to the Times now survey, the ABP C voter opinion poll had given BJP an edge over Congress giving it 31 to 37 seats and to Congress 29 to 35 seats. This was a month ago.
But today while Times now is giving BJP more than 44 -50 seats and Congress merely 12 to 15, with AAP’s tally increasing from 5 to 8 seats, then it is really is a matter of big worry for Congress, n especially Harish Rawat who not only gave up his national general secretary post of AICC but also relieved himself of significant Punjab responsibility. Though AAP leader n Delhi CM would be feeling happy enough to see the gradual upward rise.
According to various reports majority of the electorates at the ground level are seen badly disenchanted with the ruling BJP hell bent upon changing the present government, with Congress hoping to form the next government by all means.
But if the above poll surveys are to be believed than it becomes absolutely clear that while Modi charisma, hindu factor, Ram temple issue and Pushkar Singh Dhami’s unaccounted concessions, various new announcements worth several hundred crores n PMs 38000 crore inaugurations of various schemes etc have played its positive impact, the AAP’s intrusion into Congress vote bank has negated the Congress chances.
But these are just assumptions till the time the elections are held and polling boxes are opened to reveal the results on 10 th March say political analysts.
The ex servicemen votes which are considered to be the deciding factor to tilt the balance to an extent will also play its role compounded with rampant corruption, massive unemployment, deteriorating health and education sector, prevalence of liquor, land, building, illegal mining and contractor mafias being given patronage all these years in Uttarakhand reveal various analysis, giving Congress an edge over BJP.
However, what is interesting this time in Uttarakhand’s election is that while BJP’s CM face, Pushkar Singh Dhami is the youngest leader just 46 years old, AAP’s CM face Ajay Kothiyal is running on 52 years while Harish Rawat of Congress is 73 years old. In a way it’s a pretty war between experience and new comers.
